Hedera (HBAR) is trading at $0.109 as of January 23, 2026, showing minimal daily movement but sitting at a critical juncture for potential price action. Despite current bearish momentum signals, recent analyst reports suggest significant upside potential for the hashgraph-based cryptocurrency.

HBAR Price Prediction Summary

• Short-term target (1 week): $0.11-$0.12
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.14-$0.16 range
• Bullish breakout level: $0.13 (Upper Bollinger Band)
• Critical support: $0.10 (Lower Bollinger Band)

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Hedera

While specific KOL predictions are limited in the past 24 hours, recent analysis from Blockchain.News has been consistently bullish on HBAR’s near-term prospects. Multiple reports from January 17-20, 2026, have maintained a target of $0.16 by month-end, representing approximately 47% upside from current levels.

According to the latest technical analysis from Blockchain.News: “HBAR faces bearish momentum at $0.11 but analysts target $0.16 by month-end. Technical indicators show consolidation phase with 45% upside potential if resistance breaks.”

The consistent $0.16 target across multiple reports suggests institutional confidence in Hedera’s ability to break through current resistance levels, despite mixed technical signals.

HBAR Technical Analysis Breakdown

Current HBAR price action reveals a cryptocurrency in consolidation mode with several key technical indicators providing mixed signals:

RSI Analysis: At 41.01, Hedera’s RSI sits in neutral territory, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. This neutral positioning suggests room for movement in either direction, with the recent decline from higher levels potentially creating a foundation for recovery.

MACD Momentum: The MACD histogram reading of -0.0000 indicates minimal bearish momentum, while the MACD line at -0.0032 suggests selling pressure has largely subsided. This convergence near zero often precedes directional moves.

Bollinger Bands Position: With HBAR’s %B position at 0.1859, the token is trading closer to the lower band ($0.10) than the upper band ($0.13). This positioning near support levels often provides favorable risk-reward ratios for potential entries.

Moving Average Analysis: The price structure shows HBAR trading below its short-term moving averages, with the SMA 20 at $0.12 acting as immediate resistance. However, the convergence of multiple moving averages suggests a potential breakout scenario.

Hedera Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Scenario

The primary bullish case for HBAR centers around the $0.16 target consistently cited by analysts. Key levels for this scenario include:

Initial resistance break: $0.11 (current strong resistance)
Secondary target: $0.13 (Upper Bollinger Band)
Primary target: $0.16 (47% upside potential)

Technical confirmation for the bullish case would require HBAR to reclaim the $0.12 level (SMA 20) and establish it as support. A break above the upper Bollinger Band at $0.13 would likely accelerate momentum toward the $0.16 target.

Bearish Scenario

The bearish case revolves around the failure to hold current support levels:

Critical support: $0.10 (Lower Bollinger Band)
Extended downside: $0.09-$0.095 range
Extreme scenario: Retest of significant historical support levels

Risk factors include broader cryptocurrency market weakness, failure to break above moving average resistance, and potential selling pressure from recent consolidation patterns.

Should You Buy HBAR? Entry Strategy

Based on current technical positioning, potential entry strategies include:

Conservative approach: Wait for a break and retest of $0.12 resistance, providing confirmation of trend reversal with entry around $0.115-$0.12.

Aggressive approach: Current levels near $0.109 offer proximity to support with manageable downside risk to $0.10.

Stop-loss considerations: A daily close below $0.10 would invalidate the bullish thesis and suggest extended downside potential.

Risk management should include position sizing appropriate for the 47% upside potential versus 10% downside risk to critical support levels.

Conclusion

The HBAR price prediction for the remainder of January 2026 suggests cautious optimism despite current mixed technical signals. The consistent $0.16 target from multiple analyst reports provides a clear upside objective, while current positioning near Bollinger Band support offers favorable risk-reward ratios.

However, Hedera forecast success depends on breaking through immediate resistance levels and establishing momentum above moving average confluence. The neutral RSI provides flexibility for movement in either direction, making the next few trading sessions critical for determining short-term trajectory.

This HBAR price prediction is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results.

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