With a 6% dividend, is this company a passive income no-brainer?

With a 6% dividend, is this company a passive income no-brainer?


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When it comes to passive income investing, high dividend yields can certainly catch the eye of income-hungry investors. Man Group (LSE:EMG), a global investment management firm, is currently offering a juicy 6% dividend yield. But is this FTSE 250 company a no-brainer? Letā€™s dive into the details and see if this opportunity is as good as it looks on the surface.

A financial giant

First, letā€™s talk about what the firm does. As one of the worldā€™s largest alternative investment managers, the company offers a range of quantitative and discretionary investment strategies. With a market cap of Ā£2.5bn and over Ā£108bn in assets under management, this is no small fry in the financial world.

Now, onto the numbers that matter. Interestingly, a discounted cash flow (DCF) calculation suggests the current price is about 64.5% below an estimate of fair value. Although such an estimate is far from guaranteed, itā€™s a pretty big indicator that thereā€™s a lot of value here if management can make a success of the next few years. Moreover, annual earnings are forecast to grow by 15.62% for the next three years.

To me, looking at the competition is always critical when seeing a company or sector trading so far below what the numbers suggest is a fair valuation. The companyā€™s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at a modest 9.9 times, which is relatively low compared to the average of competitors, which stands at 17.6 times.

The dividend

But what about that tempting 6% dividend yield? Itā€™s certainly attractive in todayā€™s uncertain economic environment. However, I always feel that itā€™s crucial to look beyond the headline number.

Iā€™d say itā€™s more important to note the fairly unstable dividend track record in the past. This is something income-focused investors should generally keep in mind, as consistency is often prized when it comes to dividend payments. With the dividend forecast to rise as high as 7.5% by 2026, any change in strategy could disappoint the market.

Plenty of risk

The business operates in a notoriously volatile industry, where performance can swing wildly based on market conditions. The companyā€™s revenue and profits have shown significant fluctuations in recent years, which could impact dividend stability. Moreover, the firmā€™s fortunes are closely tied to its ability to attract and retain investor capital ā€” a challenging task in an increasingly competitive landscape.

The firmā€™s global footprint, while providing diversification, also exposes it to currency fluctuations and varied regulatory environments. Additionally, as with any investment firm, thereā€™s always the risk of reputational damage from poor fund performance or potential scandals, which could lead to investors moving elsewhere.

Not for me

So, is this a passive income no-brainer? Well, like most things, itā€™s not that simple. As many sectors in the market have soared in the last year, the shares have fallen by 1.1%.

Clearly, the company comes with complexities that demand careful consideration. So this isnā€™t quite the ā€˜set it and forget itā€™ passive income stream that some investors might be seeking. I think there are better opportunities out there, so I wonā€™t be investing at present.



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