Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a significant price decline, dropping 10% over the past week, as reported by Bitfinex Alpha. This downturn was primarily driven by a sell-off in the spot market and a wave of liquidations of leveraged positions. The cryptocurrency’s value plummeted after reaching a high of $66,587 on September 27, and the loss of the crucial $65,200 support level triggered a series of liquidations.

Market Dynamics and Economic Factors

The sell-off intensified amid escalating geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel, prompting investors to flee from risky assets. Consequently, $450 million in positions were liquidated on October 1. This marked Bitcoin’s first four consecutive days of losses since early August. Open interest (OI) in the market decreased from over $35 billion to $31.8 billion, indicating a more stable market environment and reduced risk of sudden price volatility.

Recent Recovery and Economic Indicators

Bitcoin showed signs of recovery, climbing back to $62,500 on October 4, buoyed by positive labor market data. The price further rose to $64,027 on October 7 as spot buying resumed. Despite this recovery, the short-term market direction remains uncertain. Several altcoins, including XRP and APT, also experienced significant price movements of 15-20%, reflecting the market’s sensitivity to news events.

Global Economic Outlook

Labor market data revealed strong job growth in September, with unemployment falling from 4.2% to 4.1%, suggesting economic resilience. However, while the labor market remains robust, other sectors have yet to feel the impact of monetary easing policies. The Federal Reserve is expected to lower interest rates in November, but the manufacturing sector continues to struggle with high interest rates and reduced demand compared to the previous year.

International Developments

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) recently advised El Salvador to reduce its reliance on Bitcoin, suggesting adjustments to its Bitcoin legislation and enhanced oversight to minimize public sector involvement. These discussions are part of efforts to stabilize the country’s economy. Despite slow adoption, President Bukele believes Bitcoin will contribute to El Salvador’s long-term growth.

In a related development, Metaplanet Inc. secured $1.46 million from selling Bitcoin options, bolstering its Bitcoin reserves. The company holds 530,717 BTC, with CEO Simon Gerovich emphasizing the profit potential of Bitcoin’s volatility.

Meanwhile, IcomTech founder David Carmona was sentenced to nearly 10 years in prison for operating a Ponzi scheme involving cryptocurrencies, which collapsed in 2019, leaving investors at a loss.

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