As of January 16, 2026, Hedera (HBAR) is navigating a critical technical juncture at $0.1178, down 2.67% in the past 24 hours. With mixed signals emerging from technical indicators and limited analyst coverage, our HBAR price prediction focuses on key levels that could determine the next directional move for this enterprise-grade blockchain token.

HBAR Price Prediction Summary

• Short-term target (1 week): $0.12-$0.13 range
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.11-$0.15 range
• Bullish breakout level: $0.13
• Critical support: $0.11

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Hedera

Recent analyst sentiment on HBAR remains cautiously optimistic despite the current consolidation phase. According to Quintin Eason (@EasonfamX) on January 15, 2026: “Hedera (HBAR) is showing strong support at $0.12. If it holds, we might see a push towards $0.15 in the coming weeks.”

This $0.15 target aligns with earlier analysis from Blockchain.News, which noted on January 12: “Hedera (HBAR) shows bullish momentum despite recent decline. Technical analysis points to $0.16 target by month-end with key support at $0.11.”

While specific analyst predictions remain limited, on-chain metrics suggest HBAR is maintaining crucial support levels that could serve as a foundation for the next leg higher in this Hedera forecast.

HBAR Technical Analysis Breakdown

The current technical picture for HBAR presents a mixed but stabilizing scenario. The RSI reading of 46.97 indicates neutral momentum, neither oversold nor overbought, suggesting the token has room to move in either direction without immediate technical constraints.

The MACD analysis reveals a bearish histogram at 0.0000, indicating minimal downward momentum, while the MACD line sits at -0.0006 with the signal line also at -0.0006. This convergence suggests the recent selling pressure may be exhausting itself.

Bollinger Bands show HBAR trading at 0.44 of the band width, positioned closer to the lower band ($0.11) than the upper band ($0.13). The middle band at $0.12 serves as the immediate pivot point, with current price action hovering right around this critical level.

Key moving averages paint an interesting picture: short-term SMAs (7, 20, 50-day) all converge at $0.12, creating a strong confluence zone, while the 200-day SMA sits significantly higher at $0.19, indicating HBAR remains well below longer-term trend levels.

Hedera Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Scenario

In the bullish case for this HBAR price prediction, a break above the immediate resistance at $0.13 (Bollinger Band upper level) could trigger momentum toward the $0.15-$0.16 range targeted by analysts. The 24-hour trading volume of $20 million on Binance spot suggests sufficient liquidity to support such a move.

Technical confirmation would require RSI moving above 50 and MACD histogram turning positive. The convergence of multiple moving averages at current levels could provide strong support for an upward breakout.

Bearish Scenario

The bearish scenario sees HBAR breaking below the crucial $0.11 support level (Bollinger Band lower band and strong support). Such a move could expose the token to further downside toward $0.10 or lower, particularly if broader crypto market sentiment deteriorates.

Risk factors include the significant gap between current price ($0.12) and the 200-day SMA ($0.19), suggesting the longer-term trend remains bearish until this level is reclaimed.

Should You Buy HBAR? Entry Strategy

For investors considering HBAR, the current technical setup offers defined risk-reward parameters. Conservative buyers might wait for a successful test of $0.11 support with a bounce, targeting the $0.13-$0.15 range.

More aggressive traders could consider entries near current levels ($0.1178) with stop-losses below $0.11. The relatively low daily ATR of $0.01 suggests controlled volatility, making position sizing more predictable.

Risk management remains crucial, with position sizes kept modest given the uncertain broader market environment and HBAR’s position well below longer-term moving averages.

Conclusion

Our Hedera forecast suggests HBAR is likely to trade within the $0.11-$0.15 range over the coming month, with a moderate bias toward the $0.15 target cited by analysts. The technical consolidation phase appears to be continuing, with neutral RSI and converging moving averages providing a stable foundation for the next directional move.

The HBAR price prediction carries moderate confidence given the clear technical levels and analyst targets, though broader crypto market conditions will likely influence the timeline for reaching these objectives.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are inherently speculative and should not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before investing.

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