The Miami Dolphins are in the midst of a sweeping organizational reset, and the most consequential move of all may soon involve the future of their longtime quarterback, Tua Tagovailoa.

With a new head coach in Jeff Hafley and a new general manager in Jon-Eric Sullivan, league insiders increasingly believe the franchise is preparing to move on from Tagovailoa, despite a massive contract extension signed just one year ago.

The changes at the top have been decisive. Ownership signaled its appetite for a new direction by overhauling both the coaching staff and the front office, effectively replacing two of the most powerful pillars in the organization.

Now, attention has turned to the third: the quarterback position. According to league-wide sentiment, Tagovailoa may have already taken his final snap for the Dolphins.

A contract that haunts Miami

Tagovailoa signed a four-year, $212.4 million extension with the Miami Dolphins that took effect in 2024 and included $167.2 million in guaranteed money.

At the time, the deal reflected total organizational belief in him as the long-term face of the franchise. Less than two seasons later, that confidence appears to have eroded as leadership priorities shift.

On the field, Tagovailoa showed clear growth during his early years under Mike McDaniel.

He led the league with 4,624 passing yards in 2023 while throwing 29 touchdowns, firmly establishing himself as one of the NFL’s most efficient passers. However, injuries and inconsistency soon followed.

In 2025, however, he threw for 2,660 yards and 20 touchdowns in 14 games before ultimately being benched, a moment that now looms large in hindsight. Quinn Ewers started the last games of the regular season.

The new regime must now weigh performance, durability, and long-term roster construction against severe cap implications.

Will the Dolphins release Tua?

Releasing Tagovailoa before June 1, 2026 would saddle the Dolphins with an estimated $99.2 million dead-cap charge. A post-June 1 designation would soften the blow but still spread $67.4 million into 2026 and $31.8 million into 2027.

Despite the stakes, Sullivan struck a cautious tone when addressing reporters. He declined to offer clarity on the quarterback’s status, emphasizing process over immediacy.

“Yes, we need to get the QB situation in place,” Sullivan said. “But we’re not gonna do it in an irresponsible manner where we sacrifice building the infrastructure of this football team.”

That measured response has done little to quiet speculation. On NFL Live, Adam Schefter delivered a blunt assessment of how the situation is being viewed across the league.

“You heard Jon-Eric Sullivan, the new Dolphins general manger there, be non-committal to Tua Tagovailoa,” Schefter said.

“They obviously need to speak with him before they make any public pronouncements, but there’s a feeling around the league that has persisted that Tua Tagovailoa has played his last down in Miami.

“The only question now is how and when the team moves on from him – whether the Dolphins want to swallow one $99 million dead cap hit one whole fell swoop or whether they want to spread it out to two years. That’s the decision that the two former Packers employees will have to come to.

“But the biggest challenge that group is going to have is finding a quarterback, especially in a division where Buffalo has Josh Allen, where the New England Patriots have Drake Maye and where the New York Jets have like nine No. 1 draft picks over the next few years.”

For the Dolphins, the path forward is fraught with risk.

Moving on from Tagovailoa would be financially painful, but standing pat could delay a broader rebuild the new leadership appears intent on executing.

With a reshaped power structure and a competitive AFC East, the franchise now faces one of the most defining decisions in its modern history.