Should I rush to buy these FTSE 100 giants at 52-week lows?

Should I rush to buy these FTSE 100 giants at 52-week lows?


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Most of us will be aware that the FTSE 100ā€˜s up and trading near all time highs ā€” albeit not adjusted for inflation ā€” but these two beast of the index are sinking. Diageo (LSE:DGE) and Rio Tinto (LSE:RIO) are stalwarts of the blue-chip index, but both stocks are trading just above their 52-week lows.

A discounted share price creates buying opportunities, potentially propelling a portfolio to new heights. However, some stocks are cheaper for a reason. So are we looking at bargains or value traps?

Diageo

Diageoā€™s a global leader in premium alcoholic beverages, with a portfolio stacked full of iconic brands including Johnnie Walker, Smirnoff, and Guinness. Founded in 1997, Diageoā€™s grown to become one of the worldā€™s largest spirits and beer companies, with operations in over 180 countries.

However, despite its strong market position, the company reported a 0.6% decline in organic net sales for fiscal 2024, primarily reflecting weakness in Latin America and the Caribbean.

This has been compounded by inflationary pressures in recent years. In fact, running a soft drinks brand ā€” Sumacqua ā€” myself, Iā€™ve seen this inflation first hand ā€” extract costs surged 40% between recent batches.

Back to Diageo, thereā€™s reason for optimism. The London-based company continues to benefit from premiumisation trends in the beverage sector, with its premium-plus brands growing 4% in the latest fiscal year.

Coupled with strong presence in emerging markets, particularly India and China, Diageoā€™s long-term growth potential remains intact.

As for valuation, with a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 19.6 times and a price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio of 7.4, it doesnā€™t scream value. However, this P/E ratio is lower than its been in recent years and the dividend yield has grown to 3.2%.

Finally, the average share price target is Ā£27.66, representing a modest premium to the current price.

Source: TradingView ā€” P/E ratio

Rio Tinto

Rio Tintoā€™s one of the worldā€™s largest mining companies, with a portfolio of assets focus on iron ore, aluminium, copper, and other minerals.

Rio Tintoā€™s falling share price primarily reflects falling iron ore prices and demand uncertainty, especially from China. However, the companyā€™s diversification into aluminium and copper offers growth potential, given the expected shift towards renewable energy.

While Chinese iron ore demand may have peaked, Rio Tintoā€™s well-positioned for future demand shifts noting its high-grade ore assets, especially its upcoming Simandou mine.

Itā€™s not dirt cheap compared to its peers, trading at 8.2 times forward earnings. However, itā€™s a cyclical stock and the earnings forecast can change dramatically, and quickly.

And the average share price targetā€™s Ā£62.25, representing a 31% premium to the current share price. Coupled with a 7.3% dividend yield, it could be an interesting investment opportunity.

Source: TradingView ā€” P/E ratio

The bottom line

So where do I stand on these two stocks? I think Diageoā€™s still a bit pricey but Iā€™d expect it to bounce back eventually on long-term growth prospects.

And Rio? Well, it may be like trying to catch a falling knife. The stock clearly could recover, as it has previously. But thereā€™s always a risk that this downward cycle will be worse than the last.

Personally, Iā€™m not rushing into either of these stocks, but Iā€™ll certainly keep a close eye on both.



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